Categories
事儿关经济

台上一小时

总算是熬过了这异常忙碌的一周,纷纷扰扰的事情压得我喘不过气来,最后难得可以安安静静的坐下来,打开书,品读。

周一的时候听了彭实戈老师的一场讲座,关于《金融中的风险度量》的问题。和以前的讲座同样,官方新闻稿有很多,但是我还是乐于在这里说说自己听讲座的收获。不得不说,彭老师确实是个大家,深入浅出的对于“非线性期望算子”的讲解让我对这种思想深深沉醉。说来惭愧,在山大待了这么久,居然都不知道彭老师具体是弄些什么的。我不想说太多恭维的话(别忘了诺贝尔没有数学奖),只是我觉得一种思想的提出远远比现实中的应用难得多。没有长时间的积淀,怕是难有如斯的见解。

还有就是很喜欢彭老师说到的一个词儿:dirty work。现在dirty work实在是太多了,比如今天晚上把我整得昏昏欲睡的某个讲座,乱七八糟的大杂烩,如果非要评价什么,那只能说“这篇论文确实用了大量时间”。不想提了,实在是无聊。

iid是一个很有趣的东西,中文译作“独立同分布”。彭老师所做的,就是放松了同分布假设提出一种新的“中心极限定理”,我想这个若是普及开来,对于相关的学科,比如计量经济学,影响将是巨大的——正如彭老师本人所说的“革命”。我只是想知道对于独立这种假设,有没有更好的放松办法……或许在未来,一切皆有可能。话说,我曾想做一些和预期有关的东西,以后有时间再详细的说说,暂且按下不表。

罗嗦了这么多,是因为今天下午讲了一个小时的中级微观习题课,却深深的体会到过程的艰辛。我对自己的微观经济学功底还是很自信的,至少自己能看懂马斯克莱尔那本microeconomic theory。但是真正把自己的理解用平实的语言叙述出来,让别人理解,就是一件破费功夫的事情了。昨天晚上吃完饭不到7点开始备课,在电脑前面连续工作了五六个小时直至十二点多终于做完了一个课件。画了很多图,觉得illustrator不足以胜任还特意把Flash装上了,辛辛苦苦的折腾了好久,只是希望这些东西可以帮助他们去理解中级微观背后的那些经济思想,然后再完美的融合到数学表达式里面。当然,我不知道自己做的成不成功,还有待时间检验。至少,我想,聊胜于无吧。因为中级微观在以后的经济学的学习中实在是太重要了,所以我做的时候生怕不清晰误导了他们。查阅了很多资料,我想这是当年学中微的时候所完全不会去做的事情。这也达到了当时跟导师说的目的之一:examine my knowledge of intermediate microeconomics。

讲了不到一个小时,然后顺利的把准备好的东西讲完了。还有一些残留的小问题需要下次课再进一步清晰。看来备课所需要的时间,确实远远多于讲课所展现的那几十分钟。当老师真是一件辛苦的事儿,这也促使我以后绝对不会继续呆在学校这个象牙塔里面——责任太重大了。下一次课是两周以后,看来又有的辛苦了。只是希望一则不会辜负导师的信任,二则不会白白浪费来听课的同学的时间,三则不让自己失望。想到这里,再多的辛苦,却也值得了。

最后有句话,值此一年之际,一吐为快:滴水之恩,涌泉相报。无论如何,将我领进经济学殿堂的这份莫大的恩情,值得我去全力以报。

Thank you so much, dear Yue.

Categories
事儿关经济

Stochastic calculus [4th week, Sep]

Today when I was checking my emails, I noticed one ad from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. There was no doubt that it is the most famous business school throughout the world.  But in fact, at the first glance, I didn't realize that it was Wharton. I just thought that "oh, a school of Upeen“.

Followed its link, I was redirected to its official website, and read the introduction of its applied economics doctoral program. Although I did know that upeen would never give me an admission, I still looked carefully at the details of the program's requirements. Of course, I paid much attention on the mathematical requirements. Some familiar words came into view, like

(1) at least two courses in calculus, (2) linear algebra, (3) differential equations, and (4) probability and statistics. We also recommended that you have taken: (1) real analysis, (2) econometrics, (3) stochastic calculus.

Ok... I have one year left to meet your requirements. However, the fact is, even if I can satisfy all the basic requirements of this program, I am still not competitive enough and I have no money to pay for the tuition. Thus, the final result mentains the same: It has nothing to do with me. Moreover, I would prefer the training of theoretical economics rather than applied economics.

Here I want to say something about "stochastic". Some days ago one junior attracted my interest, not for his intelligence, but for his love of mathematics as a student of economics. I had met hundreds of schoolmates who had a good knowledge of math, either took some classes from the school of mathematics or taught themselves. But most of them were forced to enhance their math ability by the pressure from graduate schools or their advisors. Therefore, the real situation was, they did have some calculation skills after professional math trainings, but seldom did they really have the understanding of the spirit of math.

That boy was different. He didn't got high marks in every class, thereby losing the most valuable testimony of outstanding performance at study. "The only choice for me is to take part in the entrance exams for postgraduate schools ( which is called 'Kao Yan') since my lack of English and GPA ", he laughed at himself when I encouraged him to go abroad. But he told me that he had audited most of the core courses in school of math. That day we talked about a question about matrix, or more specifically, Markov chain. He offered a new solution way, which was really out of my thought. I didn't catch his meaning at first, so he explained it patiently. After that, he recommended me to listen to the course of stochastic process in school of math. To speak honestly, I had some knowledge about stochastic process so I told him. At first he was a little surprised, but soon he gave me an advice for the reason that my understanding of stochastic was not deep enough. Then he gave me a list of the courses and asked whether I would come to the class or not. Unfortunately, the time was conflicted with an other class on Tuesday afternoon. He said that it didn't matter, since I would go to another half  of the course on Thursday and the course was pretty easy. OK, I will certainly do that.

Of course, as an exchange, I provided some suggestion for the economic courses...

Now what I want to say is, why "stochastic" is so important in economics? It seems that every one has an unique answer, so do I. But today the word "stochastic calculus" really makes me confused. After searching on the Internet, I have a basic conception of it. But why it sounds so familiar? ...

Yes, Shige Peng (彭实戈)! And his backward stochastic differential equations! I see... I see...

Appendix:

Some Chinese materials about Stochastic calculus ( Author unknown, sorry! ).